Showing posts with label George W. Bush. Show all posts
Showing posts with label George W. Bush. Show all posts

Monday, August 31, 2015

A vote for X, Y *or* Z is a vote for Z? or Why Corbynistas don't care about "electibility"

It's one of the oldest cries in electoral history. Politicians will declare that a vote for one of their rivals is a vote for another. But they don't always mean it the same way.

Consider a case from fifteen years ago in the US when Al Gore and his supporters declared "A vote for Nader is a vote for Bush!" Ralph Nader responded with "A vote for Gore is a vote for Bush!" Presumably George W. Bush declared "A vote for Bush is a vote for Bush!" just in case anyone misunderelucidated.

Gore was making the classic attack on smaller parties and independents, arguing they would split the vote and let the rival in. But Nader clearly wasn't - nobody seriously believed Nader could win. Instead Nader argued that Gore was so similar to Bush that the country would get much the same, whichever one was elected. Now hindsight may suggest something differently and at the time supporters of Gore (and for that matter Bush) could doubtlessly rattle off a huge list of differences between the two candidates & their manifestos but it had no effect. Because Nader's voters either doubted the sincerity of the differences or felt that on the fundamentals both candidates were as bad as each other. A Nader vote at least allowed them to side step actually having to chose between the two and being somehow responsible.

And this isn't confined to the US. Over here in the old days the Liberal Democrats often portrayed both major parties as much the same. However at the same time at the local level the party would position itself as the only credible opposition to one of the big two in the hope of getting tactical votes from supporters of the other. Come 2015 it found this contradiction tearing its vote to shred as Labour & other left-minded voters decided that "yellow Tory" was no different from "blue Tory" and they weren't going to compromise vote for one over the other.

This is part of the reason why the Jeremy Corbyn bandwagon has proven immune to every single appeal to consider what will make the Labour Party an election winner again. The hard left of the Labour Party was never enamoured with Blair and New Labour but largely kept their heads down at the time. But looking back many despise those years and feel all they got was a conservative government in a red rosette. They don't want to make those compromises again. If the country is to have a conservative government it won't be by their votes or through their party.

This attitude exists on the right as well - there's a lot of voters who do believe the "LibLabCon" [sic] is all the same and aren't going to rush to vote one over the other and instead stick with Ukip.

What's the solution? It's old fashioned positive differentiation to show how a party is offering something different and better.

Now does the Corbynistas' attitude seem so strange?

Saturday, January 03, 2009

Shoes - the new tomatoes

It seems there are some places where the credit crunch hasn't hit. I've seen reports that shoes have been thrown at Downing Street. (BBC News: UK protests over Gaza air strikes) Naturally this is in imitation of the one thrown at George W. Bush but I'm reminded of this classic movie moment:

Still it's freedom of speech and anything that keeps an industry going is to be welcomed in this day and age!

Wednesday, February 13, 2008

Who can you trust in this world?

Action Comics 309I've just been sent links to Hembeck.com: Action Comics #309 and Comics Make No Sense: More Super-Celebrity Thursday! about one of the silliest superhero comic stories going, "The Superman Super-Spectacular" which appeared in Action Comics #309 that went on sale the last week of November 1963.

This story (a full rundown is at Fred Hembeck's site) saw Superman appearing on a "This Is Your Life" style programme celebrating his life and career, with all his friends appearing. The only slight problem is that his alter ego, Clark Kent, is due to be one of the guests and Superman's plans to have either a robot or Batman stand in for him keep going astray. So amidst much madness he turns to the one man he can trust, who willingly disguises himself as Clark:

Superman meets John F. KennedyAh what a simpler age it was then! Or not - as I said earlier, this issue went on sale the last week of November 1963, perhaps not the best time to appear.

But just imagine that panel with a later President. Could anyone take this scenario seriously:

Superman meets George W. BushOr what about the two most likely candidates for this year's election?

Superman meets John McCain
Superman meets Barack ObamaSo if we can't trust the US President, who can we now trust?

Sunday, May 06, 2007

Is Alex Salmond the new George W. Bush?

It may well look that way. The Scottish election had numerous problems and it now seems possible a legal challenge may be lodged. (BBC News: Labour may challenge Scots vote) In the constituency of Cunninghame North, Labour lost by just 48 votes, amidst numerous spoilt ballot papers. Defeated Labour MSP Allan Wilson may lodge a legal challenge.

I've just done the calculations (for those interested, the figures are at BBC News: Election Result: West of Scotland) and if the challenge is successful then it will totally reverse the numbers game in the Scottish Parliament. The top-up list seats in the West of Scotland region would remain the same - 4 SNP, 2 Conservatives, 1 Lib Dem (although the order of allocation would change slightly), so the effect would be to remove one seat from the overall SNP total and add it to the Labour total - giving Labour a one seat lead over the SNP (and also making some of the coalition numbers even tighter).

An SNP source ...described the potential action as "sour grapes".
On Thursday night the SNP were talking a lot about how damaging the voting problems had been. Now that those voting problems may have benefited them, they're labelling those who are seeking verification "sore losers". Why am I so reminded of Florida in 2000?

Sunday, March 04, 2007

Small invasion - no-one hurt

There must be frustration in both Washington and London this weekend as the opportunity to restore faith in military action by liberating a small country invaded by its larger neighbour rapidly evaded the need for outside intervention.

About 170 Swiss soldiers crossed the border into Liechtenstein and wandered for about a mile before realising their mistake and turning back. (Liechtenstein: no retaliation for Swiss 'invasion') Since Liechtenstein has no army, it could have been easily taken, but authorities on both sides seem eager to play down the significance.

This means that the chance for Tony Blair and George W. Bush to have a final military adventure that could be easily justified (who would seriously object to undoing an invasion?), or for The Sun to run every single stereotype of the Swiss imaginable, has proved elusive.

Wednesday, July 19, 2006

Is Bush a President or an activist?

George W. Bush has used the Presidential veto for the first time in his Presidency to block a bill to lift the ban on federal funding for stem cell research. Rather than act as the leader of the US people, the majority of whom back the research which could help find cures for serious illnesses, Bush chooses instead to act in accord with a narrow ideological agenda.

Let me be clear that I've never liked the personal abuse of Bush. There's a lot about his policies and actions as well as about the way he came to power that one can quite legitimately criticise him for. Attacking him for being seemingly thick, incoherent or for passing out while choking on a pretzel devalues such criticisms. (Nor do I think Bush is as dumb as his detractors like to claim. He very much fits in with the US desire to believe their President is like them, one of the ordinary folk. How many of the masses at large would avoid the gaffes Bush came out with if they had the same exposure and pressure?) But what I really don't like is the way Bush has brought a religious zeal into politics (and here was ignorant old me thinking the US has a constitutional division between religion and state!), seeking to enact policies in line with a narrow sect of opinion rather than with the needs and wishes of the many. This is not a case of a President taking a lead - this is a man responding to one of the most disgusting elements in US politics. The statesmanly approach would have been to ignore the clarion calls and sign the bill into law. Instead Bush shows himself to be ever more a weak leader.

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