Earlier I thought David Davis would narrowly scrape through today. On reflection I no longer think that. I suspect that the only way he could survive would be for Cameron supporters to put their own preferred candidate at risk to engineer a three way photo finish. And that's about as likely as the Liberal Democrats ever becoming "the real Opposition".
At the moment David Davis may fight on. He may fight to win. But come this evening I doubt that will still be the case.
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