tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10968338.post6655684301889823074..comments2023-08-11T09:56:34.039+01:00Comments on timrollpickering: Are we on course for another 1931?Tim Roll-Pickeringhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12589024696145675963noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10968338.post-59442324687694391012009-05-07T11:24:00.000+01:002009-05-07T11:24:00.000+01:00Would it be a little too obvious to make a two hor...Would it be a little too obvious to make a two horse race joke about that bar chart? I suppose if you compare it with 1935 you could say "Labour on the up here" etc.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10968338.post-41429803429753355082009-05-01T11:48:00.000+01:002009-05-01T11:48:00.000+01:00I would imagine that the LibDem "lovebombing" tact...I would imagine that the LibDem "lovebombing" tactic might help this as well. Cameron and Clegg looked rather at-ease in each others' company, and that could translate into a more palatable tactical vote for those who oppose Labour but can't bring themselves to vote Tory.<br /><br />Some on ConHome have mentioned it before, but there's a desire to see the LibDems replace Labour as the opposition party to the Tories. If that happened there could be some very interesting realignments. That however would depend on a post-defeat battle. If they go down the Foot route again they could witness their own utter destruction.<br /><br />So I'd say that 1931 would be likely to occur not this GE, but at the next one. It would be helped if:<br /><br />1. The LibDems retain a respectable presence, either as an opposition party or in coalition (probably the former for positioning reasons);<br />2. Labour implodes and lurches to the left.Ben Grayhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14049705461959428825noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10968338.post-46217890025592480932009-05-01T11:47:00.000+01:002009-05-01T11:47:00.000+01:00I don't think it will be as bad as 1931, but I str...I don't think it will be as bad as 1931, but I strongly suspect that on current trends that they will have fewer seats than in 1983. I wonder whether we are seeing the long term death throes of Labour as a major player in UK Politics?James Burdetthttp://www.jamesburdett.co.uknoreply@blogger.com